The New York Times: Ο Κόσμος: Και τώρα τι; – Το Πεντάγωνο αποσύρει το Anthropic για το OpenAI – Ο στάβλος των γιατρών του Τζέφρι Έπσταϊν – Οι μόδες των επιδορπίων στη Νότια Κορέα – Ο ανώτατος ηγέτης του Ιράν είναι νεκρός. Και τώρα τι; – Τα τελευταία νέα για το Ιράν – Οι ομάδες προσπαθούν να κατανοήσουν τους μπερδεμένους νέους κανόνες καθώς ξεκινά η σεζόν – Η φευγαλέα ζωή ενός κορεάτικου επιδορπίου

March 2, 2026By Katrin Bennhold

Good morning, world! I’m in Washington, D.C., and have been following the U.S. strikes on Iran with my colleagues here.

Regime change in Iran has been on the mind of U.S. administrations for decades. In 1953, the C.I.A. helped orchestrate a coup that overthrew Iran’s democratically elected government and reinstated the pro-Western shah. And ever since the 1979 Iranian revolution that in turn overthrew the shah and established an anti-American theocracy with nuclear ambitions, Tehran has been in Washington’s sights.

My colleagues in D.C. tell me that Pentagon officials have done a lot of work over the years on what it might take to oust Iran’s leaders. But no administration acted on it — until now. Today I write about what the death of Iran’s supreme leader means for Iran and the Middle East.

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People mourned Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran yesterday.  Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times

Iran’s supreme leader is dead. What now?

He presided over Iran for almost four decades, overseeing its transformation into a regional power while ruling at home with an iron fist. His death, which officials said came as a result of Israeli airstrikes based on American intelligence, has sent Iranians into the street — some to mourn, but also some to celebrate — as the government he led vows revenge.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was the supreme leader of Iran’s theocratic government. (Read his obituary.) Whoever takes his place — and how they come to power — will shape the future of this conflict, Iran and even the broader Middle East.

A succession plan

The U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran began on Saturday with strikes that largely focused on military targets, including missile-launch sites scattered throughout the country.

The most prized target was a high-security compound in the heart of Tehran, where C.I.A. agents had learned that a meeting of top Iranian officials was taking place, according to officials with knowledge of the strike. Khamenei was nearby. Satellite images showed the compound reduced to rubble, and rumors of the supreme leader’s death began circulating quickly. President Trump announced the death on social media on Saturday. Iran confirmed it hours later.

What happens next isn’t clear.

For now, Iran’s top national security official, Ali Larijani, has said that an interim committee would run the country until a new leader is chosen. Last June, during the 12-day war with Israel, Khamenei named three candidates who could replace him, with the successor to be appointed by a conservative body of clerics.

The goal, as my colleague Farnaz Fassihi wrote before this weekend’s bombing began, is to ensure that the Islamic Republic survives, regardless of what the Trump administration may have in mind.

A gray cloud of smoke rises above a city. An Iranian flag stands in the foreground.
Further U.S.-Israeli attacks hit Tehran yesterday. Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times

‘Take over your government’

After weeks of mixed messages around Trump’s goals for a war with Iran — Was it to punish the government for killing tens of thousands during recent protests? To finish the job on its nuclear program? To eliminate the ballistic missiles threatening Israel? — the president issued a full-throated call for regime change on Saturday.

What was notable, though, was whom he called on to achieve this goal.

“When we are finished, take over your government,” he urged, in a message aimed at the Iranian people. “America is backing you with overwhelming strength and devastating force. Now is the time to seize control of your destiny.”

This approach — urging Iranians to overthrow their own unpopular government — allows Trump to avoid sending in ground troops to finish the job, something the administration has insisted it will not do. The lessons from the Iraq and Afghan wars are fresh on everyone’s mind.

But it’s also a scenario, as my colleague David Sanger writes, “that rides almost entirely on the ability of the Iranian people, largely unarmed and unorganized, to seize the moment.” Many analysts are skeptical that will work.

Intelligence agencies believe the organized opposition in and outside Iran remains relatively weak, according to reporting from my colleague Julian Barnes, who covers U.S. intelligence agencies and national security.

That raises the question of whether the Trump administration, for all it is urging Iranians to rise up, actually thinks outright regime change is likely, or whether it hopes for a softer, Venezuela-style decapitation. There, the Trump administration ousted the president. But rather than helping a democratically elected leader into power, it left the vice president of the old regime in charge.

“This is an administration that prioritizes stability,” Julian told me. They’re envisioning a situation in which “something like the Venezuela scenario plays out and that the next people up are ready to make a deal with the United States.”

One scenario U.S. officials are imagining, Julian told me, is that Iran’s powerful Revolutionary Guards take greater control over the country and pursue a less confrontational line with the U.S. in order to protect their economic and political interests. In that scenario, the next supreme leader may be just as hard-line but would have less power.

But there are multiple scenarios that could unfold, and these officials don’t have a huge degree of confidence in any one of them, Julian said.

“They have unleashed forces here that they cannot control,” he said. “No one can predict how it’s going to play out.”

People waving Iranian flags.
Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times

Chaos and change

Amid all the uncertainty, one thing seems clear. The death of Khamenei will be some kind of turning point for the Islamic Republic.

Inside Iran, he had become the face of a regime that had lost the trust and faith of the Iranian people who had propelled it to power in a popular uprising. It was under his leadership that the brutality against protesters escalated.

In the United States, many viewed him as the main obstacle to a lasting nuclear deal and by extension to a more peaceful Middle East. His departure has finally opened up the possibility for change. But what kind of change?

“There are people who believe this war will come to a swift end, and there will be a more cooperative government in Iran. There are people who believe a democratic spring will emerge in Tehran,” Julian said. “But it’s just as possible that this unleashes chaos and disruption. We just don’t know yet.”

My colleagues at The Morning newsletter and I want to answer your questions about the conflict in Iran. What do you want to know?

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In a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon.  Hussein Malla/Associated Press

The latest on Iran

Fighting between Israel and Hezbollah reignited this morning, breaking a fragile truce that had been in place for about a year and expanding the Iran war.

On Sunday, Iran unleashed deadly retaliatory attacks against Israel and the countries in the Persian Gulf as the U.S. and Israel carried out more airstrikes in Iran.

In a brief interview with The New York Times, Trump said that the U.S. intends to keep up the attack for “four to five weeks.” Follow our live coverage here.

Residents fled as Israel struck Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon in response to projectiles launched from Lebanon into Israel. Hezbollah said it had struck Israel to avenge Khamenei’s death.Iran has hit at least six U.S. military facilities around the Middle East since Saturday, according to a Times analysis. Three U.S. troops were killed at a base in Kuwait.At least 115 people, most of them likely children, were killed at a girls’ elementary school in southern Iran on Saturday, according to Iranian state media.At least nine people were killed in Israel, five people in the United Arab Emirates and four people in Syria, according to official reports tallied by The Times.The fighting shut down shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the conduit for one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. Oil prices have risen.Cheap, Iranian-made drones have proved effective on the battlefields of Ukraine. Now they have been unleashed across the Gulf.In the video below, our Iran bureau chief Erika Solomon describes how ordinary Iranians are responding.
Click to watch the video.  The New York Times
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Mark Thompson/Getty Images

Formula 1: Teams are trying to make sense of confusing new rules as the season begins.

Tennis: Daniil Medvedev won the men’s singles title at the Dubai Tennis Championships, whose finals went ahead despite Iran’s missile attacks in the region.

Football: Four Asian Football Confederation Champions League matches have been postponed after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran.

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Antonis Tsagronis
Antonis Tsagronis
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