Early voting in Michigan on Sunday. Nick Hagen for The New York Times |
75 million Americans have voted early
A day before Election Day, an anxious America, weary from the campaign and worried about the state of the nation’s democracy, is voting with determination, with roughly 75 million people having cast ballots in the early voting period. In nine states, more than 50 percent of eligible voters have already voted.
Projections from early voting indicate that the overall turnout will probably be between that of 2016, when roughly 60 percent of eligible voters turned out, and of 2020, when two-thirds of eligible voters participated, setting a modern record.
In the final set of Times/Siena College polls, Kamala Harris is now narrowly ahead in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Donald Trump leads in Arizona. They’re both locked in close races in Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania. But the results in all seven battleground states are within the margin of sampling error, meaning no candidate has a decisive lead.
Analysis: Usually, the final polls point toward a relatively clear favorite, even if that candidate doesn’t go on to win, wrote Nate Cohn, the Times’s chief political analyst. But this will not be one of those elections.
On the campaign trail: As Harris visited a church in Detroit yesterday, Trump told supporters that he “shouldn’t have left” the White House after the 2020 election.
Your questions: We asked Campbell Robertson, a national reporter, this question from a reader.
Why is Pennsylvania a swing state? What demographics are responsible for it being so? — Rebecca I., Sweden
Campbell: On Pennsylvania’s corners sit two large, Democratic-voting cities — Philadelphia and Pittsburgh — surrounded by bands of increasingly liberal suburbs. But about half of Pennsylvania residents live outside these two major metro areas, in smaller cities and rural areas across the state. Many of these places were once humming with steel mills and factories, and home to many union members, a reliable Democratic base.
But as industry declined over the decades, the electorate in these areas steadily moved toward the right. The share of college-educated adults is growing in Pennsylvania, as is the number of nonwhite voters. But currently a slight majority of the state’s voters are white people without college degrees, Trump’s most reliable demographic.
For more: Campbell talked to Pennsylvania voters about how they are feeling.
Palestinian children arriving for polio vaccinations. Omar Al-Qattaa/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images |
Gazan children got a second polio vaccine
Nearly 94,000 children in Gaza City received a second dose of polio vaccine this weekend in an effort that was delayed by intense Israeli bombardment and mass evacuation orders in northern Gaza, the Gazan health ministry said. The campaign is scheduled to continue through today.
The first round of vaccinations, in September, covered all of northern Gaza. Since then, the Israeli military has launched an intense offensive in the area against what it has said is a resurgence of Hamas.
Long read: An Israeli college student shared posts on Instagram — then the police arrested her for incitement. Read about her story.
In other news:
Some residents of towns in southern Lebanon where Hezbollah does not hold sway say they feel trapped in the crossfire between Israel’s firepower and Hezbollah’s fighters.Iran’s supreme leader said on Saturday that Israel and the U.S. would “receive a crushing response” to the strikes on his country, as the Pentagon said it would deploy additional resources to the region.Since Oct. 7, 2023, Hollywood has struggled with how to handle the conflict. Meet the Israeli influencer helping stars craft their social media message.The State Department confirmed that it was looking into reports that an Iranian-American citizen had been arrested in Iran. Rights groups last month said that Reza Valizadeh, an Iranian-American journalist, was being held in a Tehran prison without access to a lawyer. |
Maia Sandu, Moldova’s president. Vadim Ghirda/Associated Press |
Moldova’s president won a runoff vote
The president of Moldova, Maia Sandu, a pro-Western leader, won re-election yesterday in a runoff vote against a rival candidate she had denounced as “Moscow’s man.” With more than 98 percent of ballots counted, official results gave Sandu about 55 percent of the vote.
The vote was held a week after a contested election in Georgia, another former Soviet territory, handed victory to the Moscow-leaning governing party, and it was closely watched by the U.S., the E.U. and Russia as a critical test of Moldova’s direction.
Ukraine: The U.S. election tomorrow will almost certainly shape the course of the country in profoundly different ways depending on who wins the White House.
MORE TOP NEWS |
Manaure Quintero/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images |
Spain: Angry protesters in flood-ravaged Valencia over the weekend shouted and threw mud at King Felipe VI as he walked through a crowd with other officials. Botswana: In a stunning rebuke, the Botswana Democratic Party lost its majority in Parliament for the first time. Britain: Kemi Badenoch, the daughter of Nigerian immigrants, has become the first Black woman to lead the Conservative Party. She is expected to push it further to the right. India: A Sikh cause to carve out a land called Khalistan largely fizzled out decades ago. Yet the Indian government still frames the movement as a threat. Germany: The country’s unpopular three-party coalition government is on the brink of collapse. Poland: A radio station in Poland fired its on-air talent and brought in A.I.-generated hosts. An “interview” with a long-deceased poet ended the experiment. Mexico: Behind a wall of trees and minutes from a major highway, archaeologists discovered the ruins of a Maya city. |
SPORTS NEWS |
New York City Marathon: Abdi Nageeye of the Netherlands and Sheila Chepkirui of Kenya won the elite races. (See memorable looks.) Premier League: Inside the deal to appoint Rúben Amorim as Manchester United’s head coach. Tennis: What to expect from Wim Fissette and Iga Swiatek’s professional partnership. Basketball: The N.B.A. will investigate reports of Joel Embiid shoving a columnist in the 76ers’ locker room. |
MORNING READ |
Edwin Salazar |
Would you wear 200 stuffed animals? Le Rêve Nazam’s teddy bear jeans are the surprising internet fashion hit of the year. (Only the front is Muppetized, so you can still sit in them.)
ARTS AND IDEAS |
The New York Times |
Let generative A.I. take you on a ‘decision holiday’
Generative A.I. has important usages in industries like medicine and business consulting. But it can also handle more everyday matters: grocery lists, haircuts, in-laws.
Kashmir Hill, who covers technology and privacy for The Times, conducted what she called an “admittedly ridiculous experiment” to see how generative A.I. might help the largest work force of them all: harried parents.
Kashmir used two dozen generative A.I. tools for daily tasks and nearly 100 decisions over a week. “My automated advisers saved me time and alleviated the burden of constantly making choices,” she wrote, “but they seemed to have an agenda: Turn me into a Basic B.”
Read more about her experiment here.
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Christopher Testani for The New York Times |
Cook: This creamy tortellini soup is hearty, comforting and quick.